Investing in Argentina? This is Not the Best Time.

This is a little note to warn those investing in miners, or other stocks, in Argentina.
Argentinean debt is today higher than in December 2001 when the country declared a default/moratorium. Analyst are warning that a new default may be forthcoming.

In 2005 its debt reached USD$114B, which was 56% of is GNP, or $170B if counting the debt to holders who refused to swaps on the original loans. Martin Krause and Aldo Abram, economists, warn that if Argentinean credibility continues to fall the country will be at serious risk of not being able to meet its financials obligations. The country has lately been raising capital from Venezuela. However, the economists also warn that Venezuela will not be able to to continue rescuing the country (by buying the loans or bonds), so far $6B in bonds in the last 3 years. Argentina has been paying a hefty price (14% interest). In comparison, Brazil pays 5.4% interest on 10-years bonds.

Current Argentinean inflation is at 20%. With the current situation on oil and food prices, this may get far worse.

Correlation of the Major Indexes and ETFs

I did a correlation study of major market indexes and ETFs. Correlation is a wonderful tool to achieve diversification and for hedging.

The results are quite interesting:

346 trading day study (since Feb 22 2007):

DBA and GOLD: 0.97
GLD and FXE: 0.94
TLT and GLD: 0.90
SKF and DBA: 0.90
EWZ and FXA: 0.97
VIX and SKF: 0.76 (best correlation for VIX)

A number close to +1 or -1 indicates good correlation (positive or inverse). If you are looking for hedging, then buy negatively correlated stocks, or go long and short two positively correlated stocks.

For example, the above shows you that you are not diversified if you buy the Aussie dollar and the Brazilian market!

If you buying USO and need to hedge it for example, then your best for 346 days bet was XLF (-0.92).

You can download a full list for 346 days (since Feb 2 2007) and for 100 days (since Jan 21 2008).

The Perils of Shorting Bonds

It seems that now everyone has jumped on the short bond band wagon, i.e., short selling bonds or bond ETFs (such as TLT), or buying puts on these ETFs, or buying the inverse ETF TBT. The reason is the high inflation in the US that will eventually, perhaps sooner rather than later, cause the Fed to raise rates. Higher interest rates causes a drop in bond prices as the current bonds become less valuable.

Common sense warns that if everyone is on the same side of a trade, it is not possible to make money. Everyone cannot make money. Besides this general concept, John Mauldin mentions a chapter of a book by Luis Gave, "A Road for Troubled Times", in which he discusses the impending fall of the Euro. An oversimplification of the chapter is that since the advent of the Euro some European countries can no longer print money at will. They could print local currency, but cannot print Euros. As a result, their deficits are ballooning out of control. In fact, countries may go bust because they issued debt in Euros, which they cannot print. France's debt to GDP ratio has moved from 35% in Francs to 70% in Euros. These deficits are getting larger. Obviously this situation cannot last forever and something will break. Asian countries' currencies have also appreciated recently. This has caused spreads between countries to increase in Europe (the spreads between the strong countries such as Germany and the not so strong ones such as France or Poland. This increase in spreads causes all kinds of problems for the banks and puts pressure on their balance sheets.

The debt of these countries used to be top notch on the assumption that countries did not go bankrupt. This top notch rating is no more. So the big problem is for banks that invested in this debt, these loans were not marked to market.

Solutions are the elimination or collapse of the Euro (countries stop adopting it) with dire consequences for the European union, or the devaluation of the Euro. A devaluation of the Euro through lowering of interest rates will cause another flight to safety, i.e, to bonds.

How all this works out, and how it affect the US is yet to be seen. So far the ECB has firmly insisted that the rampant inflation is one of its top priorities, so lowering of rates is not being considered. The consequences of raising rates will be nefarious for certain countries. If the politicians have their way, this will not happen. The financial and liquidity crisis that affected the US is only starting in Europe, this time the problems are caused by governments whose debts can no longer be considered at book value. This will cause all kinds of mega loses for the banks.

Gave concludes that the credit crunch has started to make its way into Europe and banks will likely be reporting losses and write-downs, and investors will flee to the safety of bonds. We are in for very interesting times ahead, those shorting bonds should take this into consideration.

Brazilian ADRs Trading Hit Record in New York

The daily trading volume of Brazilian stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (through ADRS) hit a record $4.07B in May. Volumes have jumped higher in light of S&P upgrade of Brazil to investment grade.

It is interesting to note that this volume is actually higher than the daily at the Bovespa (Sao Paulo Exchange) itself ($3.8B).

The top traded ADRS are:

PBR, Petrobras ON $1.5B
RIO, Vale $1.1B
BBD, Bradesco $244M
UBB, Unibanco $166M
SID, Siderurgica Nacional $155M
GGB, Gerdau $128M
ABV, Ambev $68M

Other ADRs:

ITU, Banco Itau
SDA, Sadia
PDA, Perdigao


SDA and PDA are the top food producers, great companies for those interested in ag. markets.


Source: O Estado de Sao Paulo.

The US Peso

In light of inflation and currency depreciation, some people are calling the US Dollar the US Peso. The table below shows the USD versus the Pesos of the world, plus the CAD and Euro.

The USD has lost 6.5% on average against the Pesos since Jan 2007.

(obs. Cuban peso not shown as it is a frozen rate. )

Household Income Spent on Food

The US Department of Agriculture publishes a nice report detailing the percentage of household income that is spent on food for various countries. From the latest report, the countries that spent the least are:

1. US 5.8%
2. Singapore 8.1%
3. Ireland 8.2%
4. U.K. 8.7%
5. Canada 9.3%

Note that the US percentage does not include what is spent on restaurants or take-outs which is likely a significant percentage.

The countries where people spent the most are:

1. Azerbaijan 51.6%
2. Belarus 47.3%
3. Morocco 44.8%
4. Algeria 43.7%
5. Jordan 43.6%



In terms of per capita dollars spent annually, the picture is quite different:

Least amount spent:

1. Pakistan $18
2. India $141
3. Nigeria $168
4. Vietnam $169
5. China $207


Most amount spent:

1. Norway $3,591
2. Switzerland $3,040
3. France $2,776
4. Japan $2,768
5. Italy $2,765
18. Canada $1,994
23. US $1,848

IMF and UN Rethorics Against BioFuels: Cut the US and EU Agricultural Subsidies Instead

Corn-based ethanol production in the US is known to be causing part of the current food inflation in the world since corn and grains serve as food basis for many areas of the world. The IMF (Dominique Strauss-Kahn), UN (Jean Ziegler), have recently taken the position of attacking biofuels in general. This rethoric has been increasing daily, to the point of declaring biofuels "a crime against humanity".
The world has over a billion of poor or hungry people, who were hungry before, and nobody was complaining then.
The problem is not biofuels.
Take the example of Brazil. Brazil has been producing Ethanol from sugar cane for over 20 years. Sugar cane is a much higher efficieny method of producing Ethanol. Aproximately half of Brazilians vars run on EThanol, even though the country will become in the future a major oil exporter. At the same time, Brazil has been increasing its production of grains and foods in general. The thesis that biofuels causes food inflation cannot be applied in that case.
Food inflation is complex and has many causes, increased demand from China, India, and other countries, and increased freight costs caused by the increase in the price of oil, and the subsidies in the US and the EU which prevent developing nations from exporting to those markets.
Brazil has proven that is possible to increase the production of biofuels and foods at the same time. Poor countries wish access to new technologies (equipment, techniques, seeds), financing, and the end of agricultural subsidies in the US and Europe. The US is producing Ethanol from what they have (corn), but why would they not rather buy it from Brazil, or partner with central americans countries which could produce it, and at the same time help alleviate the great poverty in these areas of the world? Brazil has been exporting its Ethanol-producing technology, currently doing so in Ghana.
Could the purpose of shifting the attention to biofules to divert attention from the Doha subsidies discussions? The problem has many roots. Could part of the problem be that US and European millionaires with huge lands wish to maintain their subsidies? The IMF and the UN should be attacking this instead. The problem is not biofuels.

Libor Rate Being Underestimated

The Libor, London Interbank Offered Rate, was created in the 80s and is a fundamental piece of the global financial system. It is computed in London every morning from data supplied by the world's banks and indicates the average interest rate that banks use to lend to each other.

The Libor rises when banks are in difficulty and drops when all is good. Interest rates on trlllions of dollars in debt are set by the Libor. In the last few months of troubles, the rate has shot up. The differecne between the 3-m ointh TBill and the Libor, a measure widely see as indicative of the financial health of banks, has gone from 0.4% in August 2007 to 1.6% today.

There are growing suspicions that the banks troubles are worse than they admit and that they do not wish to inform the real high rates they are paying because that would show how desperate for cash they are. If the banks are lieing, this also means that borrowers are paying less than what they should for their loans.

The BBA, British Bankers Association is reportedly investigating the misreporting issues. Concerns are in the written minutes of the Banbk of England meeting back in November 2007.

An analyst of Citigroup ( Scott Peng) estimates that the Libor is being underestimated by as much as 0.3%. If this is correct, the implications are tremendous.

Canadian ABCP Saga: Small Investors Hire Lawyers, Hedge Fund Offers to Buy ABCP and Sue Big Banks.

The Canadian ABCP SAGA took another twist today. Private "small" investors hired Juroviesky and Ricci to stop the big banks from trasforming their short term ABCP into 8 to 9 year term paper. This was the essence of the so-called plan to save the $33B frozen in ABCP that was being proposed by the big financial institutions in Canada, a controversial plan that has hit many road blocks and delays and is yet to be approved.

Small investors decided to fight, and because they greatly outnumber the big banks, they have some clout. Although the big banks control the majority of the funds, there are a total of 1,800 investors affected, so they are the ones in control. These investors bought this ABCP junk paper thinking that they were safe AAA short term vehicles, and are obviously not happy with the big bank "bailout" plan.

Henry Juroviesky, the lawyer from Juroviesky and Ricci, commented today on BNN that the investors have an offer from an American hedge fund that would pay these investors upfront, at a small discount, and then would use its massive Billions of resources to possibly sue the Canadian banks, not only for principal, but for damages too.

Bluff or not? We will soon find out. In any case, the plan as is, is more than dead.

UPDATE: Banks hit back:

"ABCP holders told they're welcome to invite vultures"
Globe and Mail April 3, 2008 at 3:05 PM EDT
"A committee trying to persuade small investors to support a proposal to restructure the frozen $32-billion market for asset-backed commercial paper would not object if they sold their holdings to U.S. vulture funds, a spokesman said Thursday."

Do Investors Hold over the Weekend or do They Sell?

Do investors sell their stocks on weekends so as to avoid potentially nasty surprises?





I looked at the closing data for each weekday in 2008 for DIA, SPY, and FXP (as well as FXI, XLF and VIX). DIA and SPY represent two broad indxes, FXP and FXI and Chinese ultra ETFs (short and long respectively), and the VIX is the volatility index.

For calculations I used the adjusted day's close minus close of the previous trading day. The objective was to see if people held these over the weekend. These are the results, and also shown in the graph above:


DIA:

Fridays: 10 down days, 2 up days, average -0.81%
Mondays: 4 down days, 6 up days, +0.35%
Tuesdays: 6 down days, 6 up days, +0.23%
Wednesdays: 6 down days, 7 up days, +0.03%
Thursdays: 6 down days, 7 up days, -0.14%

SPY:

Fridays: 10 down days, 2 up days, average -0.75%
Mondays: 5 down days, 5 up days, +0.23%
Tuesdays: 5 down days, 7 up days, +0.20%
Wednesdays: 7 down days, 5 up days, -0.14%
Thursdays: 7 down days, 6 up days, -0.13%


FXP:

Fridays: 5 down days, 7 up days, average +0.16%
Mondays: 6 down days, 4 up days, -0.56%
Tuesdays: 6 down days, 6 up days, +0.38%
Wednesdays: 5 down days, 7 up days, +1.61%
Thursdays: 5 down days, 8 up days, +1.29%

FXI:

Fridays: 7 down days, 5 up days, average -0.08%
Mondays: 3 down days, 7 up days, +0.47%
Tuesdays: 6 down days, 6 up days, -0.44%
Wednesdays: 7 down days, 5 up days, -0.71%
Thursdays: 8 down days, 5 up days, -0.74%

XLF:

Fridays: 7 down days, 5 up days, average -0.69%
Mondays: 5 down days, 5 up days, -0.51%
Tuesdays: 6 down days, 6 up days, +0.79%
Wednesdays: 7 down days, 5 up days, -0.01%
Thursdays: 8 down days, 5 up days, -0.35%

VIX:

Fridays: 6 down days, 6 up days, average +1.75%
Mondays: 7 down days, 3 up days, +0.01%
Tuesdays: 7 down days, 5 up days, -0.88%
Wednesdays: 5 down days, 7 up days, +0.57%
Thursdays: 7 down days, 6 up days, -0.54%

SUMMARY:




Looks like the results for DIA and SPY are pretty conclusive for Fridays. It seems that few people want to hold these during weekends. This is also consistent with the VIX being up on Fridays, percentage wise.

Interestingly FXP seems to do very well (long) on Wednesdays and Thursdays.

The Counterparty to Leveraged or Inverse ETFs

If you think you can make money by investing in leveraged ETFs, please make sure you know who your ETF's counterparty is. For example, one such ETF is the ProShares SKF, which features a 2X inverse return on financials. Sounds like a great place to invest funds if you expect the mess in the US to continue. Well, nothing is free. All these funds have counterparties, and as you know these days these counterparties may go bankrupt at any time. In fact, last week had the Fed not intervened, a like very big counterparty was supposed to go bankrupt until it was bailed out by the Fed (using future American children's money).

I asked ProShares who the counterparty to SKF is. This is their response:


"Thank you for your email today regarding ProShares. At this time, ProShares LLC does not disclose the counterparty names for the derivative products within the portfolio. Please refer to the attached prospectus for further information on the UltraShort Financials fund.

Sincerely,

ProShares Shareholder Services"

Canadian ABCP Rescue Saga Continues

After missing several deadlines to complete the rescue plan, the agreement has failed yet again. So now the major players are seeking bankruptcy protection for the 20 trusts that issued the paper. This saga has been going on since last August.

The banks will file an application in Ontario Superior Court to put the 20 trusts under the protection of the Companies' Creditors Arrangement Act, a law normally used by companies that are trying to restructure under bankruptcy protection, thus preventing creditors from seizing assets and halts lawsuits against the company.

Meanwhile, investors in the supposedly safe funds are out of luck. None of this is unexpected but with the deteroriation of the banks situtation in the US, any hope that whoever put money into these funds will be able to recover it at full value and soon is just misguided.

Noront and Fancamp Update, Just be Patient

As reported in February. Robert McEwen and others bought into a private offering of Noront. The purchase price was $4, with additional warrants at $5, exercisable for 2 years. Noront currently trades around $7, just a few weeks after this announcement. These investors have made, at least on paper, many millions of dollars of profit.

Fancamp reached today a new 52-week high, currently trading around $3. This stock was trading at $1.30 in January, and around $0.17 1 year ago.

These stocks will likely have major pullbacks, offering new entry opportunities. As the markets experience severe down swings, expect these stocks to be hit hard as investors take profits and get rid of speculative positions. All you need is patience to get a better entry point.

NOT has the best drill results (so far), FNC the best property.

Canadian ABCP Rescue Plan in Even More Disarray

The group that's trying to restructure the $33-billion in frozen asset-backed commercial paper confirmed that the plan will be delayed until the end of April, "as details of the plan, such as participation by Canadian banks, have yet to be nailed down amid crumbling credit markets.". BMO has reported that is it pulling out. CIBC keeps reporting bigger losses.

Nobody here is surprised. The deal is suffering the same fate as its even more troubled American counterpart Super Fund announced last year and never heard of again. The American plan also had comitted funds from the largest US banks, which we know, have no funds.

Noront, Deal of a Lifetime

Noront spiked today, yet again.

McFauld's Lake, McNugget, it's all McEwen. Robert McEwen is is scooping up in shares and warrants in both Noront (NOT.v) and McDonalds (BMK.v). In the case of NOT, he gets shares at $4, plus warrants at $5.


After the BMK announcement was made last October, the shares jumped to over $1, to then drop to the current $0.60. Perhaps the same will happen with NOT, which spiked up today and made many here happy.

My approach with these is to keep a small core position and keep trading in and out to reduce the ACB. So far, so good, I have likely reduce ACB by about 50%. The stocks are highly speculative and you get many chances to get in and out. Other holdings in the area: FWR.V and FNC.V


NOT:


Each unit was priced at $4.00 and consists of one common share and one-half of one common share purchase warrant. Each whole warrant entitles the holder to purchase one common share of Noront at an exercise price of $5.00 for a period of two years from the date of issue.

Bought by Rosseau Asset Management; Pinetree Capital Ltd.; Robert McEwen, President, Evanachan Limited; Pierre Lassonde, Chairman, Franco-Nevada Corporation; Sprott Asset Management; and Northfield Capital Corporation


BMK:


Gross proceeds of $10,000,000, through the sale of 25,000,000 units of the Company. A total of 15,625,000 units of the Company will be sold on a "hard dollar" basis (the "Hard Units") at a price of $0.40 per Hard Unit for gross proceeds of $6,250,000. A further 9,375,000 units of the Company will be sold on a flow-through basis (the "FT Units") at price of $0.40 per FT Unit for gross proceeds of $3,750,000. Each Hard Unit will consist of one common share and one common share purchase warrant (the "Hard Warrants"). Each FT Unit will consist of one flow-through common share and one-half of one non flow-through common share purchase warrant (each whole warrant an "FT Warrant" and collectively, with the Hard Warrants, the "Warrants"). Each Warrant will entitle the holder thereof to acquire one common share at a price of $0.50 for a period of 24 months from the date of issuance.

Bought by Sheldon Inwentash - Chairman & CEO, Pinetree Capital Ltd., Robert McEwen - Chairman & CEO, US Gold Corporation, Pierre Lassonde - Chairman, Franco-Nevada Corporation, and Randall Oliphant - Chairman, Western Gold Fields Inc.

Food Inflation, More Packaging, Less Product: An Opportunity

When was the last time you bought ice-cream at a supermarket? The vast majority of ice-cream vendors have reduced their size from 2L to 1.65L, but have blatantly kept the same price. This is not just Nestle, it has happened with most brands. Most likely this is to cope with the rising cost of milk and inflation, which we have discussed here so many times.

So, who makes ice-cream packaging? There is someone who might be doing well in the future.

ABCP Woes: Coventree Shutting Down

With regards to the troubled $33B in frozen Canadian ABCP, Coventree lost a competition to administer the restructured non-bank asset backed commercial paper in Canada, and will likely have to wind up its operations as a result.

Coventree says its revenues are no longer expected to cover expenses, and its administration business is no longer viable: "the range of options that remain under consideration are limited and will likely involve, among other things, the orderly windup of the company's operations pending implementation of the restructuring plan".

Coventree (COF.to) was trading at $0.86 Friday.

The Myth of Fed Injections

Every week many people post about large Fed injections and their effect on the stock market. This activity is particularly strong on Thursdays when most TOMOs are due. Big media outlets and lots of bloggers will claim that the Fed has injected or withdrawn billions of dollars and that this will somehow have an effect on the stock market.

This Google spreadsheet computed all fed injections since Jan 2006, and computed its correlation to the DJIA and SP500 indexes (through DIA and SPY), using nearly 600 data points. The complete spreadsheet is here.

A correlation analysis was done on this "injections" and the stock market movements for each quarter since Q1 2006. Results:

- The correlation between Fed injections and DIA is -0.06.
- The correlation between Fed injections and SPY is -0.17.

The correlation between the SPY and the DIA is 0.95. A number close to zero means there is no correlation, a number close to 1 indicates a high correlation.

Performance Performance Fed "Injections" (in $B) DIA SPY Q1 06 -20 2.75% 2.47% Q2 06 4.5 0.43% -1.89% Q3 06 -9.75 4.05% 4.52% Q4 06 19.25 6.68% 6.42% Q1 07 -7.5 5.51% 6.48% Q2 07 -8 8.53% 5.82% Q3 07 19.5 2.85% 0.52% Q4 07 1.75 -3.96% -5.24% Correlation -0.0625 -0.17 SPY vs DIA 0.95

Next time you hear or read about the Fed injections and the market, perhaps it's best to ignore!

Results of Investing in Straddles in January

The following is a list of straddle results performed on several ETFs on January 4 2008. This table shows the results if you had bought both calls and puts on that day. Strangles/straddles are great if you are not sure of market direction. If the market does move either way you win.

To performer was the DIA 130-126 position. DIA at the time was trading at 128.17. Yesterday's close was 121.77.

Overall, investors on DIA, SPY, and even IWM would have done very well. The only losing positions were XLF and an extreme IWM straddle.

You can view the complete list, and in much better formatting, at: http://nexalogic.com/strangles.html

Before Move After Current price Month C/P Stk Value # Req Value PROFIT ROI IWM Jan C 74 $0.87 12 5.56% $0.00 -$10.00 $324.00 15.61% Jan-04 71.8 P 70 $0.92 11 -5.00% $2.20 $2,410.00 Jan-18 67.88 C 75 $0.57 18 6.14% $0.00 -$10.00 $182.00 8.79% P 69 $0.64 16 -5.58% $1.42 $2,262.00 IWM Jan C 73 $1.24 8 4.96% $0.00 -$10.00 $464.00 22.79% Jan-04 71.95 P 71 $1.28 8 -4.82% $3.15 $2,510.00 Jan-18 67.88 C 72 $1.75 6 4.86% $0.00 -$10.00 $320.00 15.31% P 72 $1.70 6 -4.73% $4.05 $2,420.00 IWM Jan C 76 $0.37 27 6.58% $0.00 -$10.00 -$379.00 -18.66% Jan-04 72.09 P 68 $0.46 22 -6.82% $0.76 $1,662.00 Jan-18 76.88 SPY Jan C 141 $2.99 4 3.60% $7.95 $3,170.00 $779.00 32.18% Jan-04 141.31 P 141 $2.41 5 -4.04% $0.08 $30.00 Jan-18 133.43 C 142 $2.44 4 3.92% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,200.00 61.22% P 141 $2.41 4 -3.65% $7.95 $3,170.00 SPY Jan C 143 $1.95 5 3.96% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,290.00 65.48% Jan-04 141.31 P 140 $1.95 5 -3.69% $6.56 $3,270.00 Jan-18 133.43 C 144 $1.52 9 4.14% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,848.00 68.44% P 139 $1.64 8 -3.87% $5.71 $4,558.00 XLF Jan C 27 $1.17 8 5.38% $0.00 -$10.00 -$121.00 -6.42% Jan-04 27.32 P 27 $0.62 15 -7.72% $1.19 $1,775.00 Jan-18 25.8 C 28 $0.63 16 7.06% $0.00 -$10.00 -$136.00 -6.73% P 27 $0.62 16 -5.75% $1.19 $1,894.00 XLF Jan C 29 $0.31 32 8.46% $0.00 -$10.00 -$846.00 -42.22% Jan-04 27.32 P 26 $0.32 31 -7.14% $0.38 $1,168.00 Jan-18 25.8 C 30 $0.12 83 10.80% $0.00 -$10.00 -$2,026.00 -101.00% P 25 $0.15 66 -9.48% $0.00 -$10.00 DIA Jan C 128 $2.47 6 3.39% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,558.00 53.05% Jan-04 128.17 P 128 $2.05 7 -3.66% $6.45 $4,505.00 Jan-18 121.77 C 129 $1.92 7 3.46% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,624.00 59.79% P 127 $1.69 8 -3.73% $5.45 $4,350.00 DIA Jan C 130 $1.49 7 3.64% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,437.00 67.06% Jan-04 128.17 P 126 $1.35 8 -3.91% $4.50 $3,590.00 C 131 $1.08 10 3.88% $0.00 -$10.00 $1,380.00 63.89% P 125 $1.06 10 -4.14% $3.56 $3,550.00

New Potash Company IPOs in Canada

Following on the theme of global food inflation, whose demand is mostly triggered by increased global income (population eating better), Athabasca Potash started trading under symbol API on the Toronto exchange.

Potash has no commercial substitute its application increases yield & plant health.

The company is exploring its Burr Project and recently completed a 2D seismic survey of the project as well as five new exploration drill wells. After the IPO the Company will proceed with further exploration, a scoping study, and a preliminary feasibility study to assess the viability of underground potash mining. Athabasca also plans to conduct exploration programs over the other ten exploration permits it holds in addition to the Burr Project.

API started trading on December 13. The IPO had an offering of 10,140,000 common shares at a price of CDN$4.25 per share, for gross proceeds of CDN$43 million. The stock reached a high of $10.47 and is currently trading at over $10. There are just over 34M shares outstanding. Assays are expected in Q1 2008, new resource estimate in Q2 2008. Production is several years into the future (7-10 years).

The Burr project is located in Saskatchewan, the prime location of reserves of Potash Inc. Saskatchewan holds over 50% of the world’s potash reserves.

Click here for Athabasca Corporate Presentation. I have no position in this company, I am just keeping an eye on it.