Monday, October 5, 2009

Australia Set to Raise Interest Rates

Speculation is rampant that the Bank of Australia will raise interest rates in its meeting tomorrow (tonight for us in Noth America). The Aussie Dollar is up sharply today (1.8% now):

Analyst consensus is for the rates to stay at 3.00%. However, traders think that economic fundamentals have significantly improved, enough to warrant rising rates. It could be the first G-20 central bank to raise rates since the financial crisis started.

Here is today's chart of all currencies we track live (as of 3PM):

(please click to enlarge)

Clearly, the AUD and BNZ are on a tear.

With the U.S. Dollar still weakening, this could be a suicidal move as it would further boost the Aussia currency, and further damage exports. Maybe the bank down under knows something we don't. However, Australian unemployment numbers are supposed to be released only on Wednesday. Surely, they would need to take this into consideration before raisng rates. The stakes are high.

Straddles for December (a little illiquid):

Stumble Upon Toolbar

No comments:

Financial TV

Blog Archive

// adding Google analytics