The US (Bureau of Economic Analysis National Economic Accounts) has just released the GDP figures for Q1 2009. It is noteworthy that this is just a preliminary "advanced" release, much like we had for Q4 last year when the equivalent figure was -3.8%, and was subsequently revised to -6.7%.
Therefore, the actual drop on GDP can be significantly different. The number -6.1% is largely irrelevant, it could well be -9%.
This is the advance release for Q4 2008, from January 30 2009
"GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: FOURTH QUARTER 2008 (ADVANCE)
Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- decreased at an annual rate of 3.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, (that is, from the third quarter to the fourth quarter), according to advance estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP decreased 0.5 percent.
The Bureau emphasized that the fourth-quarter “advance” estimates are based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (see the box on page 4). The fourth-quarter “preliminary” estimates, based on more comprehensive data, will be released on February 27, 2009.
The decrease in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected negative contributions from exports, personal consumption expenditures, equipment and software, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by positive contributions from private inventory investment and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased."
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
US GDP Q1 2009 Is Just an Advanced Release, to be Revised.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Blog Archive
-
▼
2009
(843)
-
▼
April
(53)
- Performance of HAX Actively Managed ETF
- Earnings Straddles Update
- FAS FAZ Banging Again
- US GDP Q1 2009 Is Just an Advanced Release, to be ...
- Under Armour Shares Rise on Earnings
- S&P500 Most Oversold and Most Overbought Companies
- Daily MultiPeriod Performance of Leveraged ETFs
- FAS-FAZ Eclipse Update
- Straddles Update April 24
- Stock Paired Performance Tool Released
- The Next FAS-FAZ Eclipse
- Zenn Motor Update (ZNN), EEstor Announces Results
- Straddles April 23, Amazon
- Natural Gas Inventories
- S&P500 Most Overbought and Most Oversold Companies
- World GDP Growth for 2009 and 2010
- Leveraged ETFs Performance Since Inception
- Straddles Update April 21
- US Treasury on The Bank Stress Tests
- S&P 500 Most Oversold and Overbought Stocks, April 20
- Straddles Update
- UCO Straddles for May
- The Citibank Arbitrage: Extreme Number of Options ...
- Straddles for The Week April 20-24 (Optimal Sizing)
- S&P 500 Most Oversold and Overbought Stocks By RSI
- The Great FAS and FAZ Loss
- Dennis Gartman on BNN: Short Gold
- Earnings Calendar for the Week April 20 to April 24
- New Citibank Straddles
- S&P 500 PE Tracker
- USO Rollover Report for April
- Cheapest Stocks in the S&P 500 by P/E
- Citibank Straddles and Strangles
- UCO Down Sharply , USO Rollover Ends today, Straddles
- GM and The Easter Bunny
- Straddles for the Week April 13 - April 17 (optimal)
- Natural Gas Inventories Touching 5 year Top of Cha...
- Upcoming Earnings Straddles
- A Night With The Bears - Part II, Roubini says No ...
- A Night With the Bears
- Performance of XLF vs SKF, UYG, FAS, FAZ
- Stock Correlation Tool Released
- USO Rollover
- Alcoa Strangle
- Gold and Silver Straddles Update
- Straddles for the Week April 5-April 9
- Brazil Will Loan To the IMF
- UCO Straddles April 2
- Natural Gas Update
- USO Rollover for April
- FAS FAZ Live Loss-O-Meter
- Quotes from Mark Carney
- Performance of Direxion Leveraged ETFs
-
▼
April
(53)
No comments:
Post a Comment